Mia Ristic vs Tina Nadine Smith Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In the last six months, Ristic has won 38.79% of second serve points, while Smith has a slightly better performance at 43.85%. Could this indicate a serving edge for Smith?
• Ristic has won 48.94% of opponents' second serve points recently, compared to Smith's 50.55%. This suggests Smith may have an edge in return games.
• When facing breakpoints, Ristic has saved 49.57% in recent matches, whereas Smith has saved 50.48%. This indicates Smith might be more resilient under pressure.
• In the past year, Ristic has a slightly higher match win rate at 60% compared to Smith's 56.25%.
• Ristic's best career surface is Hard with a 68% win rate, while Smith excels on Grass with 62% but struggles on Hard at 50%.
• Both players have mostly participated in Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, with Ristic winning 60.81% of matches, slightly outperforming Smith's 59.32%.
• Head-to-head, Ristic has a 1-0 lead against Smith, with both sets in their match at the Uni Credit Iasi Open won by Ristic.
• Ristic has faced tougher opponents on average, with an opponent ranking of 354.55, compared to Smith's average opponent rank of 417.56.
• If the match reaches a deciding set, Smith holds a slight advantage, having won 54% compared to Ristic’s 50% in the last year.
• Ristic has been more effective in converting breakpoints recently, achieving 40.2% conversion rate versus Smith’s 38.1%.

Editorial Prediction (July 24, 2025, UTC):

As the players prepare to face off again, the comparison between their recent performances highlights some critical areas. Smith's slight edge in second serve points and return game statistics could give them a potential advantage, especially if they can maintain this form.

However, Ristic has shown resilience in head-to-head play, and given their better overall match win percentage and higher opponent quality, they may find confidence from past encounters, especially their previous victory over Smith.

While Smith shows strength in deciding sets, Ristic has a slightly superior conversion rate on breakpoints. This might prove crucial in high-pressure moments of the match.

Ultimately, considering all factors, Ristic’s stronger performance on their preferred surface and historical head-to-head record suggest that they are more likely to win the upcoming match.